Poll

Phillip Stucky | Contributor

Former Vice President Joe Biden experienced a four-point bump over his previous standing with potential Democratic challengers should he join the 2020 presidential race, in a Morning Consult poll released Tuesday.

Biden leads with 35 percent of the vote, followed by Independent Sen. Bernie Sanders, who garnered 27 percent of the vote. Sen. Kamala Harris and former Rep. Beto O’Rourke were tied for third place with 8 percent. (RELATED: Biden Claims He Was A Desegregationist Despite Sordid History On Race)

US Senator of Vermont Bernie Sanders in Conway NH on August 24th 2015 by Michael VadonUS Senator of Vermont Bernie Sanders in Conway NH on August 24th 2015 by Michael Vadon

US Senator of Vermont Bernie Sanders in Conway NH on August 24th 2015 by Michael Vadon

The Morning Consult poll is released each week, and Biden increased his standing by four percentage points. Despite a wide-reaching media and ground campaign, O’Rourke only experienced a 1 percent increase in support in the poll. Harris lost two points in the poll this week.

Biden is not officially in the race, but he appeared to indicate his interest Saturday during a Democratic Party event in Dover, Delaware.

“I have the most progressive record of anyone running,” Biden said to raucous applause before correcting himself. “Anybody who would run — I didn’t mean it. Anybody who would run.”

Morning Consult polled 13,551 registered Democrats who self-reported they may vote in a Democratic primary or caucus in their state. The poll ran from March 11 through March 17 and had a margin of error of 1 percentage point in either direction.

Source: The Daily Caller

Thirty-eight percent of New York voters say Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y., was a “villain” in Amazon’s decision to pull out of plans to build a headquarters in Queens, a new Siena College poll reveals.

Only 12 percent call her a “hero” in the collapse of the deal with Amazon. Twenty-four percent classified her as a “role player.”

Ocasio-Cortez and other critics of the Amazon deal said the state went too far in offering the online retail giant tax incentives.

“Local Queens activists” were the second biggest “villain” with 34 percent, the poll noted.

Here is how the New York survey breaks down:

  • 31 percent have a favorable view of Ocasio-Cortez, compared to 44 percent who have an unfavorable opinion of her.
  • 34 percent have a favorable opinion of New York Mayor Bill de Blasio, while 50 do not.
  • 51 percent have a favorable view of Sen. Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., compared to 41 percent who have an unfavorable opinion of him.
  • 43 percent have a favorable opinion of Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, D-N.Y., while 33 percent do not.
  • 46 percent have a favorable view of Gov. Andrew Cuomo, compared to 48 percent who have an unfavorable opinion of him.
  • 36 percent have a favorable opinion of President Donald Trump, while 60 percent do not.

The poll, conducted March 10-14, surveyed 700 New York registered voters. The margin of error is plus or minus 4.2 percentage points.

Source: NewsMax America

The Swiss National Bank (SNB) is pictured next to the Swiss Federal Palace in Bern
FILE PHOTO: The Swiss National Bank (SNB) is pictured next to the Swiss Federal Palace (Bundeshaus) in Bern, Switzerland December 7, 2018. Picture taken December 7, 2018. REUTERS/Denis Balibouse

March 19, 2019

ZURICH (Reuters) – The Swiss National Bank will leave its ultra-loose policy alone on Thursday, said all the economists polled by Reuters, and most don’t expect any change until at least 2021.

All 32 economists polled by Reuters expect SNB Chairman Thomas Jordan to maintain the bank’s negative interest rates and readiness to intervene in currency markets to restrain the safe-haven Swiss franc.

They expect the SNB to keep its target range for the London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) locked at -1.25 to -0.25 percent, the same level since it ditched its minimum exchange rate of 1.20 Swiss francs to the euro four years ago.

None of the respondents expect any change until the end of this year, especially in view of the European Central Bank’s slowing of its own policy normalization. Most forecast it will come in 2021 at the earliest.

“We do not expect the SNB to change interest rates before the end of 2020. In fact, if we are correct in our assessment that the ECB will be forced to re-start QE next year, upward pressure on the franc – and SNB concerns about deflation – are likely to intensify into 2020,” said Jack Allen at Capital Economics.

“This means the SNB may have to delve into its toolbox to ease policy next year,” Allen said. He thinks the SNB might take rates even further into negative territory if necessary.

There was also no disagreement about the negative interest rate the SNB charges on sight deposits. All the economists expect -0.75 percent to be maintained this week.

All but one expected the bank to retain its description of the franc as “highly valued”. That one expected it will be described as “significantly overvalued”. The franc has gained 3 percent against the euro in the last 12 months to trade around 1.1360.

A strong franc weighs on Switzerland’s export-reliant economy and also adds deflationary pressure. The SNB is expected to cut its 2019 inflation forecast on Thursday from its current view of 1 percent.

The SNB will have to wait at least until the ECB starts its monetary policy tightening — now delayed to 2020 at the earliest — before it begins its own path to normalization, analysts said.

“Pressure on the SNB is mounting from two sides: on the one hand, the financial industry and pension funds are increasingly coming under pressure, which puts pressure on the SNB to end the negative interest rate phase as early as possible,” said Alessandro Bee at UBS.

“On the other hand, the weakness in European growth and the various political risks lead to a higher risk of a Swiss franc appreciation. The SNB is between a rock and a hard place.”

(Reporting by John Revill, polling by Manjul Paul and Richa Rebello, editing by Larry King)

Source: OANN

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Source: InfoWars

A new survey found that the majority of Americans trust Congressional Democrats and special counsel Robert Mueller investigating President Donald Trump and his administration.

Key figures in the poll from The Hill and HarrisX:

  • 19 percent trust Mueller, who is leading the Department of Justice probe into Russian collusion.
  • 10 percent trust Congressional Democrats, who have launched a wide-ranging investigation into Trump's background.
  • 28 percent trust both.
  • A combined 57 percent trust either Mueller, Democrats, or both.
  • 43 percent trust neither of the aforementioned parties, including 67 percent of Republicans and 15 percent of Democrats surveyed.

"I think that a lot of Americans out there just don't care that much about these investigations," Cato Institute director of polling Emily Ekins told Hill.TV. "Now, if the investigation uncovered something real and concrete and clear, that would absolutely make a difference, including for a certain set of pivotal voters in Trump's coalition."

The findings are in contrast to another poll from USA Today and Suffolk University, which found that 50.3 percent of those polled agreed with Trump that Mueller's investigation is a "witch hunt."

Source: NewsMax Politics

Amber Athey | White House Correspondent

A new poll found half of Americans agree with President Donald Trump that the special counsel’s investigation into Russian collusion is a “witch hunt” as trust in Robert Mueller hit an all-time low.

The poll, conducted by USA TODAY/Suffolk University, asked 1,000 registered voters about their views on the Mueller investigation as the special counsel is expected to soon deliver his final report to Attorney General Bill Barr. (RELATED: Trump: Approval Rating Would Be 75 Percent Without ‘Russia Witch Hunt’)

Fifty percent of voters said that they believe Mueller’s investigation is a “witch hunt,” agreeing with Trump’s constant assertions that he is being investigated over politics rather than credible allegations of wrongdoing.

Just 28 percent of those surveyed said they have trust in Mueller’s ability to be fair and accurate in his investigation, the lowest level polled to date.

In fact, more people now believe Trump’s denials about collusion than trust Mueller — 30 percent expressed “a lot of trust” in the president’s claims that his campaign did not collude with Russia.

Trump tweeted about the poll Monday, indicating that “very few think [the investigation] is legit.”

“We will soon find out?” the president asked, perhaps referencing the fact that the investigation is reportedly reaching a conclusion.

Follow Amber on Twitter

Source: The Daily Caller

William Davis | Contributor

Democratic New York Mayor Bill de Blasio is considering a run for president, but doesn’t appear to be generating as much buzz as other candidates like former Rep. Beto O’Rourke of Texas and Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont.

De Blasio took a trip to New Hampshire as he gauges interest on a possible bid for the Democratic nomination. However, only 20 people showed up for the event that took place on Sunday, according to the New York Post. (RELATED: Poll: New Yorkers Consider Ocasio-Cortez A Villain In Amazon Pullout By Wide Margins)

Bill de Blasio prepares Speech for the Celebration of Three Kings Day (Nicholas Hunt/Getty Images)

Bill de Blasio prepares Speech for the Celebration of Three Kings Day (Nicholas Hunt/Getty Images)

Fourteen of the 20 attendees were members of a panel, which means that only six supporters of de Blasio showed up to the event. (RELATED: De Blasio Leaves AIPAC Stop Off Public Schedule)

The Post detailed just how low de Blasio’s numbers were compared to some of his potential 2020 contenders, including Sens. Kirsten Gillibrand of New York and Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts.

The mayor’s small crowd was similar to what some lower-tier candidates who have actually announced have gotten in the early primary state, such as New York Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand. By comparison, however, Sen. Elizabeth Warren, who has been in fourth place among Democrats in New Hampshire primary polls, got 300 people to show up to a recent event.

De Blasio was easily re-elected to a second term as mayor in 2017, and has long been considered a member of the progressive wing of the party, and would likely compete with Warren and Sanders for votes from the party’s Left flank.

Follow William Davis on Twitter

Source: The Daily Caller

Graeme Gallagher | Contributor

While waiting to get inside a St. Patrick’s Day disco at a hotel, a stampede erupted and resulted in the death of three teenagers in Northern Ireland, according to The Guardian.

On a cold and wet night, the “crush” occurred at around 9:45 p.m., as hundreds of people were waiting to enter the Greenvale Hotel in Cookstown, County Tyrone. A 17-year-old boy, 17-year-old girl and 16-year-old boy died as the stampede broke out.

“Our preliminary investigations show that there was a crush toward the front door of this hotel, and in that crush, people seem to have fallen, said Mark Hamilton, an assistant chief constable with the Police Serice of Northern Ireland (PSNI). (RELATED: Six Dead And Nearly 50 Injured After Night Club Stampede In Italy)

In addition to the three deceased teenagers, another 16-year-old girl was in stable condition and other teenagers were injured after the incident.

The Greenvale hotel has the capacity of about 500 people and is a popular venue for discos. While the doors to the hotel were locked on Sunday night, several coaches of young people arrived at the same time resulting in a large flux of people waiting for the gates to open. (RELATED: Farmer Accuses Vegans Of Killing Piglets In Stampede While Trying To Cuddle Them)

“We were all outside waiting for the gate to open and get in,” an unnamed teenager, who was at the incident, told the Ulster Herald. “Then, everyone just started swaying back-and-forth and pushing from side-to-side. Suddenly, there was a rush forward and the whole queue collapsed and everyone fell to the ground.”

The teenager went on the explain that there were “more than 100” people who fell down in the crowd, including himself, who was “pinned down” under others and unable to move for “20 minutes.”

COOKSTOWN, NORTHERN IRELAND - MARCH 18: The scene outside the Greenvale Hotel night club on March 18, 2019 in Cookstown, Northern Ireland. (Charles McQuillan/Getty Images)

The scene outside the Greenvale Hotel night club on March 18, 2019 in Cookstown, Northern Ireland. (Charles McQuillan/Getty Images)

“I didn’t know what was going to happen or how I’d get out,” said the teenager. “Eventually I was pulled out and thankfully was able to walk away. There were ambulances and police all around. I could see them giving one person CPR treatment.”

The incident “traumatized” the teenager and made him reconsider if he would go out ever again: “It was the worst thing I’ve ever experienced, really frightening. I’m traumatized, and after this, I don’t know if I ever want to go out again.”

Reports of assaults during the chaos at the hotel were downplayed by police, who said the struggle to get people off the ground could have led to some fighting.

“There seems to have been a little bit of struggling to get people up off the ground. And that may have explained why there was some reports of fighting,” said Hamilton.

In an effort to understand what happened, Hamilton and the Northern Ireland police are interviewing those who are present and are asking those with footage of the incident to share it with them directly.

“It is heartbreaking that an event which should have been fun for these youngsters on St. Patrick’s night should end in such a terrible tragedy,” said Hamilton.

Politicians from Northern Ireland offered their thoughts and prayers for those affected in the incident, including Mary Lou McDonald, the leader of the Sinn Féin, an Irish-left wing party, who called it a “night of tragedy.” (RELATED: Northern Ireland’s Citizens Want Abortion Decriminalized, According To Poll)

“I cannot fathom the horror that the parents of these children are going through this morning,” McDonald tweeted. “What should have been a night of fun and celebration for young people has turned into a night of tragedy.”

Source: The Daily Caller

Saagar Enjeti | White House Correspondent

Former Democratic Rep. Beto O’Rourke, Democratic Sen. Bernie Sanders, and former Vice President Joe Biden dominate the Democratic 2020 presidential field in either fundraising or polling in the early days of the contest.

The dominance of the white, male trio has caused consternation among the Democratic faithful, who were initially emboldened by the diverse nature of the field including persons of color, women and LGBTQIA+ representation.

New York Times reporter Astead Herndon noted the trend on Twitter Monday, saying:

Herndon’s observation was quickly picked up by progressives. Rebecca Traister, NYMag writer and author of “Good and Mad: The Revolutionary Power Of Women’s Anger,” noted on Twitter that “being a white man” is “an extremely powerful polling [and] fundraising boon, as it has always, always been.

Prominent media critic Jeff Jarvis declared Sunday that “we have an amazing field of women, people of color, and LGBTQ candidates. Speaking as an old white man, we don’t need more white men.”

O’Rourke, Biden and Sanders’ dominance has even spawned accusations of media bias with Democratic political consultant Anne Marsh, who told Politico, “I feel like the media is always captivated by the person they seem to think is a phenom: Bernie. Trump. Beto. But they always seem to be white men who are phenoms. In a year where we have more choices than ever, more women and more persons of color than ever, none of them seem to be deemed a phenom.”

O’Rourke announced Monday morning that his campaign brought in a record $6.1 million in online fundraising dollars within the first 24 hours of launching last week, more than any other announced Democrat. Sanders was the only candidate to come close to matching O’Rourke’s support, with $5.925 million raised within the first 24 hours after his announcement. (RELATED: Joe Biden Calls Mike Pence ‘A Decent Guy’ Then Backtracks)

O’Rourke and Sander’s initial 24-hour fundraising combined put them above the entirety of the rest of the Democratic field, including leaders like Senators Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren and Amy Klobuchar; Washington Governor Jay Inslee; and former Colorado Gov. John Hickenlooper.

The trio of Sanders, O’Rourke and Biden have either topped or dominated several Democratic national polls despite the wide field of candidates. Morning Consult’s latest analysis shows overwhelming support for Biden and Sanders amongst national Democrats with 58 percent of Democratic primary voters supporting them. Harris and O’Rourke trailed the pair with 10 percent and 7 percent, respectively.

Biden also leads the entirety of the announced Democratic field in the most recent Des Moine Register poll in Iowa, with 27 percent support from likely caucus-goers, the site of the first presidential contest. Biden was trailed by only 2 percent of the vote by Sanders. The two Democrats held the plurality of support amongst likely caucus-goers with Warren, Harris, O’Rourke and others trailing behind.

Source: The Daily Caller

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